• ipitco@lemmybefree.net
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    32
    ·
    1 day ago

    People being publicly religious will always cringe me, just like people believing in astrology and posting about it

  • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    72
    ·
    2 days ago

    Index funds. Avoid individual stocks. Don’t try to time the market, in or out. DCA. Don’t touch the money. Don’t touch the money. Don’t touch the money.

    Pretty much all you need to know right there - assuming the market continues in some fashion we’re accustomed to.

    • Katana314@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      17
      ·
      1 day ago

      I’ve kind of thrown in a bit of favoritism towards Euro companies and responsible development.

      I don’t think I’m going to make bank on that. I just…don’t want to be financially invested in my own country right now.

      • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        1 day ago

        There’s no reason you can’t do both. This country had proven time and a gain it will put rich people first, the rich get rich because investments and holdings in stocks, so taking advantage of the shitty situation is fair game.

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      edit-2
      1 day ago

      Avoid individual stocks.

      If you’re a new retail investor, sure. Putting all your chips on the S&P is probably the safest bet. But these indexes are, themselves, often overweighted by the MAG7 anyway. So you’re still heavily exposed to certain sectors and even individual firms. Tesla, for instance, is explicitly 3% of the NASDAQ composite. And because of the way it is interconnected with NVIDIA and Toyota and a few other large cap companies, a sudden downturn in Tesla value can drag down the rest of the index quickly.

      Don’t try to time the market, in or out. DCA. Don’t touch the money.

      That’s fine from a very rudimentary savings strategy. But as you learn more about individual equities, you’ll see opportunities. Palantir is a great example. It was trading at $10/share a year ago, despite Thiel having a direct line to national security spending budgets and a very friendly relationship with both Trump and Harris. Severely undervalued in the security sector in a way that a simple S&P or NASDAQ investment can’t take advantage of. Meanwhile, domestic natural gas is severely hindered by the US trade relations with China - which is the fastest growing market for petrochemicals. Simply having a chunk of the DOW won’t yield growth consistent with specific areas of the international market.

      Watch P/E ratios. Watch EBITDA. Watch what the economy is doing, generally speaking. Fuck day-trading and options plays. But you can absolutely find opportunities in the market long term with a conservative buy-and-hold strategy, if you can pick out equities that are undervalued and positioned for future growth.

      Solar is a great growth sector atm, as energy prices rise and O&G supply chains become overexposed to international conflicts. Bank stocks are enjoying a new wave of deregulation that promise high growth potential. Meanwhile, certain sectors in the MIC are stumbling - Boeing and Raytheon, for instance - because they can’t actually produce units to meet global demand for killing machines. There’s an arbitrage opportunity in smaller competitive startup firms - particularly in drone and electronic warfare.

      If you’re serious about investing, it’s worth asking the question “Is Intel in a position to compete with TMSC?” rather than just dumping all your money into an index.

      • Saleh@feddit.org
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        12
        ·
        1 day ago

        If you’re serious about investing, it’s worth asking the question “Is Intel in a position to compete with TMSC?” rather than just dumping all your money into an index.

        Unless you work in this sector and have detailed knowledge, youd be delusional to believe to be able to answer that question better than “the market” in general.

        Also i’d say Palantir isnt as much of a secret tip but rather capitalizing on wanting to live under Fascism. If you dont want to live unser Fascism you should wish for Palantir to burn to the ground. This directly contradicts pumping money into them.

        • Katana314@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          4
          ·
          1 day ago

          The scary thing is how much the stock market resembles pyramid schemes. Even if we are never going to eat our ice cream out of hats, if everyone believes we will, then ICRHAT stock will go through the roof and many of those investors are rewarded for their delusion.

        • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          2
          ·
          1 day ago

          Unless you work in this sector and have detailed knowledge, youd be delusional to believe to be able to answer that question

          The decision by Intel to forgo investment in next-generation chip fabrication for over a decade and coast on a spec that capped out at 7nm was something techies and investors had been ringing bells about for a long while. Similarly, the swell in demand for future high performance chips has been ongoing since the pre-COVID days. You can read the briefs on Intel and make an informed guess as to whether they will be able to outperform a company like TMSC, which is hedged in both politically and geographically, but riding the cutting edge of chip fabrication.

          The great thing about making investment decisions is that you don’t have to be exactly right every time. You can be marginally right, or even wrong, and still see your portfolio grow. The baseline you’re competing against is the index returns. And - especially with Blue Chips in a heavily monopolized environment - the difference between the index and the individual business isn’t particularly large most of the time.

          Also i’d say Palantir isnt as much of a secret tip but rather capitalizing on wanting to live under Fascism.

          That’s not investing, that’s wishcasting. If you think betting for or against Palantir is the difference between Liberty and Tyranny, you’ve got bigger problems with your portfolio than diversification.

      • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        1 day ago

        I didn’t write this comment for investing at your level. This is investing for people who want to have a retirement and aren’t interested in stock investing as a job, because to correctly monitor markets and companies and successfully pick winners requires education and a time investment. I’ve done my fair share of picking winners out of companies that become movers, but I don’t have the risk tolerance for that anymore and this forum isn’t the place to teach people all of that. Because something works and requires minimum effort doesn’t make it rudimentary, that’s completely unfair, derogatory, and insinuates people should try more risky strategies. You completely missed the audience I wrote the comment for. Anyone at your skill and risk level doesn’t need this advice. The equivalent of me suggesting one buy a reliable Honda and here you jump in suggesting a Maserati. Not the same crowd.

    • AreaKode@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      22
      ·
      edit-2
      2 days ago

      You’ll think this dude is crazy when you are down $200 after your first year. But check again in 10 years when it has doubled in value. Just pretend the money doesn’t exist.

      • frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        1 day ago

        And the most important advice is to leave the money the fuck alone.

        I got lucky in that I started having enough money to invest after the 2008 crash. Those years had crazy good gains. The real test comes when the market crashes 30% in a few days. Can you stick to the plan? That happened in 2020 when lockdowns started, and if you stuck to the plan, you still did very, very well that year.

    • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      edit-2
      1 day ago

      Actually just avoid the stock market entirely and pay someone else to manage your money.

      I just have an account that I deposit money to every week when I get paid (actually it’s automatically deducted) and never think about it.

      Edit: of course make sure you have your 401k, HSA, and IRA accounts maxed out people. I didn’t think I was going to have to say this but oh well. And high interest savings accounts are nicer and less risky. Do all of those things then get a broker to manage the rest of your money.

      • frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        16
        ·
        edit-2
        1 day ago

        They aren’t worth the money they’re being paid. It’s really not hard to do the most long time proven plan, which is to balance a portfolio between higher risk things like an SP500 index, and lower risk things like bonds. You weight it towards the index when you’re young to get high average returns, then back it off into lower risk as you get older to lock it in.

        “A Random Walk Down Wall Street” goes into how this strategy has been proven out over decades when so many others have failed. You technically can beat the SP500 (and be sure to include transaction costs), but only by taking on even higher risk.

        The best investment advice for most people is really, really boring and not particularly difficult. Shouldn’t even try anything else until you’re maxing out all of 401k, HSA, and IRA and then have some leftover to try the riskier strategies.

        • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          1 day ago

          Hi so I am actually maxing out a 401k and HSA, I have a IRA too but I only put a little bit into it. I also have a high interest savings account which is very nice.

          But this is my long term savings and retirement. I don’t trust myself enough for that and I’ve made 4-6% gains consistently since I started. Significantly better than I would be able to do (I know because I’ve tried with smaller amounts) plus I don’t have to worry or think about it.

          • surewhynotlem@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            1 day ago

            The s&p index returns about 10% a year over the past couple decades.

            Anyone reading this would be hard-pressed to do any better than that. So there’s no reason to do anything but just put your money in a giant index and wait.

      • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 day ago

        Actually just avoid the stock market entirely and pay someone else to manage your money.

        This doesn’t make sense?

        If someone is “managing” your money, they’re managing stocks and/or investments tied to stocks, even if it’s something like a direct deposit to a CMA.

        High interest savings is pretty decent if you can find the right one, it’s a no-effort way to collect interest. Just make sure you can afford the bank’s rules like minimum amounts or any fees.

        As far as someone else managing your money you left out a lot. Who and how? Money managers take fees one way or the other, they trade your money around based on whatever works for the business and not always what is best for the client. No matter what any trades will incur trade fees and capital gains taxes. Those gains and fees are losses that could have been avoided. I’ll stand by my original opinion.

        • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 day ago

          So I do actually have a high interest account from Capital One it’s very nice. But yeah there’s a bunch of rules like minimum monthly deposits and it takes up to 5 business days to transfer money out of it. And because y’all are assuming, I also have a 401k and HSA maxed out, and a Roth IRA I put some money in each month.

          But yeah I intentionally left out a lot because I am not a financial expert, which is the reason why I went with a broker anyways. But here are the answers for your questions

          • I have a broker through JP Morgan. I don’t know the guy and don’t talk to him outside of the once a month he calls me to update me on what’s going on.
          • I don’t know what stocks he is trading and I don’t care. Every once and a while I’ll ask him to invest in something I think would be good like Nvidia or AMD but by the time I hear about something he already moved money around
          • Of course he is working for the company and not me. I am not that wealthy haha
          • He consistently makes me 4-6% gains which is plenty for me.
          • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            1 day ago

            I’m not continuing this discussion to change your mind. If you’re happy with what you’ve got you’ve no need to listen to me. Big consumer investment houses are there to make money off you. Everything you listed is exactly what I mentioned as being a reduction in your ROI and incurring fees and taxes. For instance, we’ve invested in QQQ (feel free to check it) for more than a decade using the strategy I mentioned first. Even over the last 5 years it’s had 110% return. $10k is now more than $20k without bothering to calculate DCA or returns investing. Now do that across more index funds. Even if averages 7% with gains/losses and no fees or capital gains you can see that this comes out far ahead.

            All that said, good luck.

        • Trainguyrom@reddthat.com
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 day ago

          Based on my recent meeting with someone from the retirement planning arm of my bank, high interest savings is ideal for an emergency fund. If you’re keeping 10-20k sitting around it’s just going to keep losing value in any traditional savings account. But having the rest in an IRA or RothIRA (US-specific tax advantaged retirement accounts. Basically one is taxed as money enters the other is taxed as money exits, and there’s limitations to try to prevent abuse by the ultra-rich) can lead to significantly higher interest. He ran a report of “if we took your 401ks that we’re rolling together and they just lived in this account over the last 30 years of markets here’s what you’d have” and the answer was actually a lot more favorable than I expected.

          • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            edit-2
            1 day ago

            IRAs are tied to stocks.

            There’s no way to “avoid the stock market entirely” using this. Yes, you should balance how you want your tax burden to look in the future by deciding how you wish to invest in Roth or regular IRA. IRAs are also limited to how much you can contribute, whereas traditional stock investment does not.

            I don’t want to get too deep in the weeds here for investing strategy. There’s pros, cons, and costs to each of these kinds of investment. People have to look at all of these, their personal capabilities, and risk tolerance. Personally, we’re (another key word here:) diversified across multiple investments and someone absolutely should take advantage of the same if they can.

            • Trainguyrom@reddthat.com
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              1 day ago

              I wasn’t the one who said to avoid the stock market. I just got the feeling that your comment I was replying to was saying to just place money into a high interest savings account and wanted to throw an alternate opinion out there

        • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 day ago

          Sure, but this is my retirement and long term savings. I’m able to admit my limitations and this is one of them.

          I go to a doctor when I’m sick too. I trust professionals.

          • aphonefriend@lemmy.dbzer0.com
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            5
            ·
            1 day ago

            The difference in skill level needed between a good doctor and a good money manager is massive. It’s the difference between years of experience and a few you tube videos.

            • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              1 day ago

              Ah yes there is no such thing as experience or knowledge in financials!

              I’m in IT and it’s the same way! Throw on an LTT playlist and by the end of the day you’ll be a sys admin!

              • mrgoosmoos@lemmy.ca
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                1 day ago

                you are severely overestimating the capabilities of what qualifies as a good money manager

              • Trainguyrom@reddthat.com
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                1 day ago

                I can’t tell if you’re being sarcastic or not but I worked with someone who watched LTT religiously and seemed to get most of his training from LTT. I spent a lot of time figuring out what he did or didn’t do, writing the documentation he didn’t write them fixing what he built incorrectly. LTT tries their best but their background is purely in gaming computers and it really shows, especially with the repeated IT failures that really shouldn’t be happening in an organization of their size

          • ipitco@lemmybefree.net
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            ·
            edit-2
            1 day ago

            Understandable, but they also have conflicting interests, which is that THEY want to make money

            if you look at the average return rates of managed investing vs unmanaged, you’ll see that you earn more by yourself with pretty much equal risks

            I suspect many investment companies have deals or interest in making you invest in specific companies even though they’re not that profitable

            It’s a bit like everything: food sold already prepared has a nice taste, but not always the best composition and is less worth it than doing it yourself, but if you don’t pay attention enough, you can fuck up your meal. If you are careful, you’ll make much more by yourself and it’ll still have a nice taste. Yes, this comparison doesn’t bring a lot but specialized companies aren’t always the best way of going, and that’s currently the case for investments and stocks

            • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              1 day ago

              THEY want to make money

              Yes, but they make money when I make money. I pay like $750 per year to keep my account open, but other than that he only takes a percentage of my monthly gains. The more money he makes me, the more money he gets from me.

              And yes of course I could do enough research to match or very them in gains and I could spend enough time watching the markets to make sure I am making sound decisions. Or I could just pay someone a few hundred bucks a month to do it for me. I know what decision I chose.

              • ipitco@lemmybefree.net
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                edit-2
                1 day ago

                $750 per year to keep my account open

                WHAAAAAAT

                The thing is it’s relatively simple in the most part. Just invest in a couple mainstream ETFs and boom, no need to be fancy or taking some time after that

                if you want a more safe direction then it’s a bit different but for the most part, that’s it

                • Lv_InSaNe_vL@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  1 day ago

                  I think you missed three facts that I keep trying to hammer home.

                  1. I genuinely don’t care enough to do research and spend time watching the markets. I’m fortunate to have more money than time these days so $750 is worth vastly less than me doing it myself.
                  2. It’s safer. This is a huge % of my life savings were talking about. I don’t trust myself to do it.
                  3. I don’t care. At all. In any capacity.
              • ipitco@lemmybefree.net
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                edit-2
                1 day ago

                They could also make you invest in their partner companies (or even their own) and have themselves invested prior to that in the same company, then sell later, making them a bigger cut, or similar schemes. What I mean is that it’s not that simple.

                overall their work is not that hard and statistically doesn’t pay off, at least in the past years

                They’re trying to stay relevant, but ETFs are now the main way of investing and are providing more interest than picking niche fields. They’re doing what they can to stay relevant, but it doesn’t really work. They still need to complexify a bit your investments to make it seem like they’re doing something useful

                • deranger@sh.itjust.works
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  1 day ago

                  Yeah, I do the ETF thing too.

                  I get the possibility of some kind of insider trading, but they still have to make good returns or they’re gonna lose the job.